Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002524 0.002636 0.002750 0.002874 0.003006 0.003142 0.003294
2025-02-16 0.002308 0.002476 0.002654 0.002856 0.003079 0.003320 0.003599
2025-02-23 0.002164 0.002364 0.002581 0.002834 0.003122 0.003442 0.003825
2025-03-02 0.002084 0.002311 0.002562 0.002861 0.003210 0.003608 0.004098
2025-03-09 0.001997 0.002242 0.002517 0.002851 0.003248 0.003711 0.004295
2025-03-16 0.001919 0.002176 0.002470 0.002833 0.003272 0.003793 0.004466
2025-03-23 0.001838 0.002104 0.002411 0.002794 0.003267 0.003837 0.004588
2025-03-30 0.001769 0.002041 0.002359 0.002762 0.003265 0.003882 0.004710
2025-04-06 0.001724 0.002005 0.002337 0.002763 0.003303 0.003976 0.004895
2025-04-13 0.001641 0.001920 0.002252 0.002682 0.003234 0.003929 0.004893
2025-04-20 0.001606 0.001892 0.002236 0.002686 0.003270 0.004018 0.005073
2025-04-27 0.001585 0.001881 0.002240 0.002715 0.003340 0.004153 0.005319
2025-05-04 0.001536 0.001833 0.002196 0.002682 0.003328 0.004177 0.005416
2025-05-11 0.001499 0.001799 0.002170 0.002670 0.003343 0.004240 0.005569
2025-05-18 0.001461 0.001763 0.002138 0.002650 0.003346 0.004285 0.005696
2025-05-25 0.001444 0.001753 0.002141 0.002675 0.003410 0.004415 0.005954
2025-06-01 0.001414 0.001725 0.002119 0.002665 0.003425 0.004477 0.006112
2025-06-08 0.001382 0.001695 0.002092 0.002649 0.003430 0.004524 0.006247
2025-06-15 0.001345 0.001656 0.002054 0.002614 0.003407 0.004529 0.006319
2025-06-22 0.001312 0.001621 0.002020 0.002584 0.003390 0.004541 0.006401
2025-06-29 0.001292 0.001604 0.002008 0.002585 0.003417 0.004619 0.006590
2025-07-06 0.001245 0.001549 0.001944 0.002512 0.003333 0.004529 0.006503
2025-07-13 0.001228 0.001534 0.001935 0.002515 0.003362 0.004607 0.006694